July 30, 2021

How to fix — or at least improve — the pitcher win stat (The Athletic)

The pitching win is a bad statistic. That is an overwhelmingly accepted truth at the end of the second decade of the 21st century. However, as much as modern analysis has diminished, if not outright obliterated the importance of single-season win totals, and modern bullpen usage has accelerated the statistic’s obsolescence, career win totals still carry some significance, and the win’s prominent place in baseball history has granted it an indefinite stay of execution.

So, if we can’t completely kill the win, can we at least improve it?

That might sound even more heretical than the idea of eliminating the win altogether, but given that we are in an era of nothing being sacred in Major League Baseball, why not give it a try?

The two primary complaints about the win are that it is as dependent on the performance of a pitcher’s (1) offense and (2) bullpen as it is on his own effectiveness in a given game. The most prominent expression of the former is the…

Read “How to fix — or at least improve — the pitcher win stat” at The Athletic